Autonomous Trucks and Buses

Light Trucks, Medium Trucks, Heavy Trucks, Very Heavy Trucks, Shuttles/Minibuses, and Coaches/Single Deck Buses: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

Report Details

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Pages: 93
Tables, Charts,
     & Figures:
48
Publication Date: 1Q 2018
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There has been an explosion of interest in self-driving vehicles in recent years. Technology and automobile giants are investing significant amounts of capital to secure a strong position in the driverless future, and at the same time, all players ranging from component vendors to municipalities are actively assessing their roles in the ecosystem. There is no doubt that the commercial availability and adoption of the driverless vehicle will disrupt many industries. One of the industries that has already started feeling the disruption is the trucking sector, the backbone of every supply chain. The public transport industry is also not far behind as automated shared mobility and rapid transit networks begin to change the landscape of last-mile passenger transportation. By taking more cars off the road, self-driving shuttles and coaches promise cleaner air, reduced noise pollution, and safer areas to walk and ride.

Overall, the potential for autonomous trucks and buses is huge and market growth is accelerating, with news of successful pilot projects coming at an increasing pace. Considering the next 2 to 3 years as a make or break time, several prominent companies are prioritizing investment for large-scale development. Worldwide revenue from autonomous trucks and buses reached $84 million in 2017 and Tractica expects that the market will continue to develop at a strong pace over the next few years with more competition within the industry, providing significant opportunities to various industry participants, and reaching a value of $35 billion by the end of 2022. During that period, Tractica forecasts that annual unit shipments will increase from approximately 343 vehicles in 2017 to 188,000 units in 2022.

This Tractica report examines the market and technology issues surrounding autonomous trucks and buses and provides 6-year market sizing and forecasts for their shipments and revenue during the period from 2017 through 2022. The report focuses on crucial market drivers and challenges and assesses the most important technology issues that could influence market development. In total, 32 industry players are profiled. Market forecasts are segmented by world region and vehicle type.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • What is the current state of technology and market development for autonomous trucks and buses? How will the market evolve over the next 6 years?
  • What are the key drivers of market growth, and the key challenges faced by the industry?
  • What are the bottlenecks in technology development?
  • Who are the important players in the market, and what are their products and services?
  • What are the future pricing trends for different vehicle types?

Who Needs This Report?

  • Automotive manufacturers
  • Automotive suppliers
  • Semiconductor, component, and sensor vendors
  • Software companies
  • Telecommunications and insurance companies
  • Industrial automation vendors
  • Industry associations
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

  1. Executive Summary
    1. Introduction
    2. Market Dynamics
      1. Segments
      2. Drivers and Challenges
    3. Strategic Recommendations
    4. Global Market Forecast
  2. Market Issues
    1. Levels of Automation
    2. Market Segments
      1. Autonomous Trucks
      2. Autonomous Buses
    3. Market Drivers
      1. Shortage of Human Drivers
      2. Reduction of Operational Costs
      3. Changing Supply Chain
      4. Era of Automated Shared Mobility
      5. Evolving Electric Drive Technology
      6. Vehicle Connectivity
      7. Safety Improvement
      8. Environmental Impact
    4. Market Challenges
      1. Security and Hacking
      2. Cost of Development and Ownership
      3. Infrastructure
      4. Regulations
      5. Public Perception and Manufacturer’s Liability
    5. Ecosystem Players
      1. Automobile Manufacturers
      2. System Integrators
      3. Software Vendors
      4. Sensor Vendors
  3. Technology Issues
    1. Introduction
    2. Advanced Driver Assistance Systems
    3. Vehicle Platooning
    4. Autonomous Driving in Dynamic Environments
    5. Artificial Intelligence / Machine Learning / Deep Learning
    6. Data and Communication
    7. Autonomous Vehicle Standards
  4. Industry Players
    1. Key Industry Players
      1. 2getthere
      2. Caterpillar
      3. DAF Trucks
      4. Daimler
      5. EasyMile
      6. Ford Motor Company
      7. Hino Motors
      8. Hyundai Motor Company
      9. Iveco
      10. Komatsu
      11. MAN SE
      12. Scania AB
      13. Tesla
      14. Uber (Otto)
      15. Volvo Group
      16. Waymo (Google)
    2. Emerging Companies and Startups
      1. Auro Robotics
      2. Einride
      3. Embark Trucks
      4. GAZ Group
      5. Isuzu Motors
      6. KAMAZ
      7. Local Motors
      8. NAVYA
      9. Nikola Motor Company
      10. Peterbilt
      11. Proterra
      12. SB Drive (Subsidiary of SoftBank)
      13. Starsky Robotics
      14. TuSimple
      15. Volgabus
      16. Yutong
  5. Market Forecasts
    1. Introduction
    2. Forecast Methodology and Assumptions
    3. Global Market Forecasts
      1. Shipments by Region
      2. Revenue by Region
      3. Shipments by Vehicle Type
      4. Revenue by Vehicle Type
    4. North America
      1. Shipments by Vehicle Type
      2. Revenue by Vehicle Type
    5. Europe
      1. Shipments by Vehicle Type
      2. Revenue by Vehicle Type
    6. Asia Pacific
      1. Shipments by Vehicle Type
      2. Revenue by Vehicle Type
    7. Latin America
      1. Shipments by Vehicle Type
      2. Revenue by Vehicle Type
    8. Middle East & Africa
      1. Shipments by Vehicle Type
      2. Revenue by Vehicle Type
    9. Conclusions
  6. Company Directory
  7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
  8. Table of Contents
  9. Table of Charts and Figures
  10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts, Figures, and Tables

Charts
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue and Shipments, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, North America: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, North America: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, Europe: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, Europe: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, Asia Pacific: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, Asia Pacific: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, Latin America: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, Latin America: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, Middle East & Africa: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, Middle East & Africa: 2017-2022
Figures
  • Levels of Automation
  • Truck Driver Supply and Demand Projections
  • Incremental Costs of Automated Driving in Trucks from Stage 1 to 5
  • Examples of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems
  • Truck Platooning Concept
  • European Union Roadmap for Truck Platooning
  • Cost of LIDAR
Tables
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Average Selling Price by Region, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Average Selling Price by Vehicle Type, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, North America: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, Europe: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, Asia Pacific: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, Latin America: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, Middle East & Africa: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Shipments by Vehicle Type, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, North America: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, Europe: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, Asia Pacific: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, Latin America: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, Middle East & Africa: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Revenue by Vehicle Type, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Average Selling Price by Vehicle Type, North America: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Average Selling Price by Vehicle Type, Europe: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Average Selling Price by Vehicle Type, Asia Pacific: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Average Selling Price by Vehicle Type, Latin America: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Average Selling Price by Vehicle Type, Middle East & Africa: 2017-2022
  • Autonomous Trucks and Buses Average Selling Price by Vehicle Type, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Selected Examples of Driverless Shuttle Pilot Projects
  • Autonomous Vehicle Legislation in the United States